Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
112.58 – 171.06
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
148 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 36.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 169.5 ±16
Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 8.69Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 84.29Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32Event APEX 19.6Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 133Event APEX 10.47Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 191.6Event APEX 141.1Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 19.49Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8870, 2485, 11459
61
/ 100 compatProjected
112.6 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8870, 2485, 11459
Auto
21.4 22%
Teleop
52.3 53%
Endgame
24.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6695, 6995, 3965
75
/ 100 compatProjected
171.1 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6695, 6995, 3965
Auto
26.4 15%
Teleop
95.9 55%
Endgame
51.0 29%
Strengths
- · 6995 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score112.6pts
Blue projected score171.1pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -58.5
- Score range
- 91–193
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
169.5Season APEX388.1
21.4Auto26.4
52.3Teleop95.9
24.7Endgame51
36Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 17 |
| teleop | 49 | 62 |
| endgame | 79 | 55 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 148 | 134 |
Result
Final score
148 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 36.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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