CA District San Diego Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231.03 – 12.71

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

256 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.5 ±11.7

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 138.17Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4738Patribots

Season APEX 142.7Event APEX 47.84Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5025Pacific Steel

Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 45.02Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.1 ±14.1

6515Unimatics

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 23.02Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3704RoboSapiens

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -1.26Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 79

3749Team Optix

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX -9.05Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9452, 4738, 5025

/ 100 compat

Projected

231 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9452, 4738, 5025

Auto

16.5 7%

Teleop

144.7 64%

Endgame

64.3 29%

Strengths

· 9452 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6515, 3704, 3749

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6515, 3704, 3749

Auto

7.7 100%

Teleop

-9.1 0%

Endgame

6.8 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score231pts

Blue projected score12.7pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 218.3
Score range: -9–253
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 122.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.5Season APEX156.1

16.5Auto7.7

144.7Teleop-9.1

64.3Endgame6.8

20Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	8
teleop	147	3
endgame	70	16
foul	0	15
total	256	42

Result

Final score

256 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.