CA District San Diego Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

19.81 – 185.71

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 26 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 102.7 ±13.3

2839Daedalus

Season APEX 27.9Event APEX 3.2Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4984Bullseye

Season APEX 42.5Event APEX 0.03Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1972Searing Engineering

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 16.58Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.8 ±11.7

4919Team Ronin

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 16.89Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 144.16Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1622Team Spyder

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 24.66Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2839, 4984, 1972

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2839, 4984, 1972

Auto

12.3 53%

Teleop

12.1 52%

Endgame

-1.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4919, 9452, 1622

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4919, 9452, 1622

Auto

10.7 6%

Teleop

116.1 64%

Endgame

55.6 30%

Strengths

· 9452 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score19.8pts

Blue projected score185.7pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -165.9
Score range: -2–208
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 121.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

102.7Season APEX275.8

12.3Auto10.7

12.1Teleop116.1

-1.3Endgame55.6

15Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	5
teleop	12	126
endgame	1	5
foul	0	0
total	22	136

Result

Final score

22 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 26 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.