CA District San Diego Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

65.43 – 24.85

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

21 – 29

Prediction missed · off by 24.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.6 ±14.9

10586Unearthed

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 26.07Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2839Daedalus

Season APEX 27.9Event APEX 7.95Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10392Brawley Robocats

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 31.41Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.8 ±13.3

3341Option 16

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 4.02Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6515Unimatics

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 20.67Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4984Bullseye

Season APEX 42.5Event APEX 0.16Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10586, 2839, 10392

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10586, 2839, 10392

Auto

15.3 26%

Teleop

31.5 53%

Endgame

12.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3341, 6515, 4984

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3341, 6515, 4984

Auto

14.5 57%

Teleop

-0.7 0%

Endgame

11.7 46%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.4pts

Blue projected score24.9pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.6
Score range: 3–87
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 50 vs event baseline 121.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

139.6Season APEX148.8

15.3Auto14.5

31.5Teleop-0.7

12.3Endgame11.7

12Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	13
teleop	8	14
endgame	2	2
foul	0	0
total	21	29

Result

Final score

21 – 29

Prediction missed · off by 24.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.