CA District San Diego Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

337.26 – 28.05

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

435 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 536.1 ±9.8

2984Vikings Robotics

Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 46.75Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4419Team Rewind

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 42.22Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 248.29Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 119 ±16.9

3965Sultan Robotics Team 3965

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 17.85Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11459St. Augustine Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 14.84Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

3704RoboSapiens

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -4.64Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2984, 4419, 3128

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2984, 4419, 3128

Auto

52.2 16%

Teleop

196.9 61%

Endgame

71.9 22%

Strengths

· 3128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3965, 11459, 3704

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.1 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3965, 11459, 3704

Auto

6.6 72%

Teleop

-5.6 0%

Endgame

8.2 89%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score337.3pts

Blue projected score28.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 309.2
Score range: 7–358
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 476 vs event baseline 119.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

536.1Season APEX119

52.2Auto6.6

196.9Teleop-5.6

71.9Endgame8.2

67Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	16
teleop	231	10
endgame	132	10
foul	0	5
total	435	41

Result

Final score

435 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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