CA District San Diego Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.69 – 284.31

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.8 ±11.7

3749Team Optix

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX -6.39Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3647Millennium Falcons

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 109.19Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6885The Pilots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX -13.11Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.7 ±12.4

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 256.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3341Option 16

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 10.73Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8006The Phantoms

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 17.26Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3749, 3647, 6885

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3749, 3647, 6885

Auto

22.6 26%

Teleop

46.6 53%

Endgame

18.2 21%

Strengths

· 3647 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3128, 3341, 8006

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3128, 3341, 8006

Auto

47.6 17%

Teleop

182.2 64%

Endgame

55.5 19%

Strengths

· 3128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89.7pts

Blue projected score284.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -194.6
Score range: 69–305
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 119.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

281.8Season APEX414.7

22.6Auto47.6

46.6Teleop182.2

18.2Endgame55.5

17Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	62
teleop	40	82
endgame	29	60
foul	0	35
total	114	239

Result

Final score

114 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.