CA District San Diego Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

142.2 – 201.15

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.8 ±16.3

10625BuzzFusion

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 28.54Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8119TigerBotics

Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 95.73Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2827LEGION Robotics

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 17.93Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255.6 ±14.9

3965Sultan Robotics Team 3965

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 13.09Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10392Brawley Robocats

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 37.28Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 150.78Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10625, 8119, 2827

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10625, 8119, 2827

Auto

19.4 14%

Teleop

93.6 66%

Endgame

28.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3965, 10392, 9452

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3965, 10392, 9452

Auto

14.9 8%

Teleop

118.9 62%

Endgame

57.5 30%

Strengths

· 9452 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.2pts

Blue projected score201.2pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59
Score range: 121–222
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 305 vs event baseline 118.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

321.8Season APEX255.6

19.4Auto14.9

93.6Teleop118.9

28.5Endgame57.5

0Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	9
teleop	70	111
endgame	23	74
foul	0	0
total	111	194

Result

Final score

111 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.