Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
46.49 – 315.16
3%97%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
31 – 344
Prediction correct · off by 22.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.7 ±14.4
Season APEX 42.5Event APEX 1.61Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133Event APEX 0.27Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 44.61Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 440.7 ±12.4
Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 46.31Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 229.68Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 39.17Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4984, 6695, 10625
32
/ 100 compatProjected
46.5 pts
~0.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4984, 6695, 10625
Auto
7.4 17%
Teleop
30.4 68%
Endgame
7.0 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5514, 3128, 5025
79
/ 100 compatProjected
315.2 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5514, 3128, 5025
Auto
58.0 18%
Teleop
210.9 67%
Endgame
47.6 15%
Strengths
- · 3128 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.42 · Blue 2.46
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score46.5pts
Blue projected score315.2pts
Red win probability3%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -268.7
- Score range
- 25–336
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
233.7Season APEX440.7
7.4Auto58
30.4Teleop210.9
7Endgame47.6
38Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 55 |
| teleop | 10 | 198 |
| endgame | 11 | 91 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 31 | 344 |
Result
Final score
31 – 344
Prediction correct · off by 22.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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