CA District San Diego Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.83 – 0

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 67.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.2 ±13.9

2827LEGION Robotics

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 8.54Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10586Unearthed

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX -10.39Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 124.68Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148 ±15.8

4919Team Ronin

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 13.65Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11459St. Augustine Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 0.13Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9615Redlands Robotics

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX -13.89Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2827, 10586, 9452

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2827, 10586, 9452

Auto

6.7 6%

Teleop

60.6 51%

Endgame

52.1 44%

Strengths

· 9452 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4919, 11459, 9615

/ 100 compat

Projected

-0.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4919, 11459, 9615

Auto

12.7 0%

Teleop

-16.7 100%

Endgame

-7.6 66%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.8pts

Blue projected score-0.1pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122.8
Score range: -21–144
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 118.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262.2Season APEX148

6.7Auto12.7

60.6Teleop-16.7

52.1Endgame-7.6

41Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	12
teleop	130	12
endgame	60	7
foul	0	5
total	222	36

Result

Final score

222 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 67.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.