Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
160.42 – 91.41
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
100 – 41
Prediction correct · off by 55.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.4 ±16
Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -6.26Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 96.28Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 70.4Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165 ±15.8
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 60.64Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 21.18Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 9.59Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3704, 3647, 10625
73
/ 100 compatProjected
160.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3704, 3647, 10625
Auto
19.4 12%
Teleop
102.0 63%
Endgame
41.1 25%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2543, 2827, 9615
49
/ 100 compatProjected
91.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2543, 2827, 9615
Auto
16.5 18%
Teleop
61.6 67%
Endgame
13.8 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 0.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score160.4pts
Blue projected score91.4pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 69
- Score range
- 70–181
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
223.4Season APEX165
19.4Auto16.5
102Teleop61.6
41.1Endgame13.8
84Consistency19
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 11 |
| teleop | 13 | 11 |
| endgame | 18 | 19 |
| foul | 50 | 0 |
| total | 100 | 41 |
Result
Final score
100 – 41
Prediction correct · off by 55.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.