CA District San Diego Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.88 – 98.95

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 22 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.4 ±12.8

5474Clairemonster

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 26Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6515Unimatics

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 42.47Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8006The Phantoms

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 17.41Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.1 ±11.7

2984Vikings Robotics

Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 45.13Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5514MavBots

Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 64.36Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10586Unearthed

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX -10.54Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5474, 6515, 8006

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5474, 6515, 8006

Auto

17.8 20%

Teleop

59.5 67%

Endgame

11.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2984, 5514, 10586

/ 100 compat

Projected

99 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2984, 5514, 10586

Auto

16.0 19%

Teleop

42.2 51%

Endgame

24.4 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.9pts

Blue projected score99pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.1
Score range: 65–120
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 118.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

247.4Season APEX278.1

17.8Auto16

59.5Teleop42.2

11.9Endgame24.4

32Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	16
teleop	2	45
endgame	17	44
foul	15	10
total	58	115

Result

Final score

58 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 22 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.