Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
70.5 – 177.67
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
24 – 157
Prediction correct · off by 33.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 119.8 ±15.1
Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 25.27Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 1.79Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 31.8Event APEX 43.44Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 112.6Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 16.42Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 48.65Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3704, 3341, 9573
45
/ 100 compatProjected
70.5 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3704, 3341, 9573
Auto
13.8 17%
Teleop
29.4 36%
Endgame
37.5 46%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8119, 1622, 2984
88
/ 100 compatProjected
177.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8119, 1622, 2984
Auto
35.5 20%
Teleop
103.4 58%
Endgame
40.9 23%
Strengths
- · 8119 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score70.5pts
Blue projected score177.7pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -107.2
- Score range
- 49–200
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
119.8Season APEX432.6
13.8Auto35.5
29.4Teleop103.4
37.5Endgame40.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 18 |
| teleop | 9 | 96 |
| endgame | 5 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 24 | 157 |
Result
Final score
24 – 157
Prediction correct · off by 33.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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