Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
23.92 – 24.79
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
46 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 30.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 40.53Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.2Event APEX -16.66Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 0.05Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.9 ±12.8
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 20.22Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 12.52Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.6Event APEX -7.95Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2658, 4160, 1972
15
/ 100 compatProjected
23.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2658, 4160, 1972
Auto
14.8 62%
Teleop
16.0 67%
Endgame
-6.8 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3965, 3749, 5025
30
/ 100 compatProjected
24.8 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3965, 3749, 5025
Auto
4.6 13%
Teleop
24.5 71%
Endgame
5.4 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score23.9pts
Blue projected score24.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -0.9
- Score range
- 2–47
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
187.2Season APEX214.9
14.8Auto4.6
16Teleop24.5
-6.8Endgame5.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 14 |
| teleop | 19 | 32 |
| endgame | 11 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 46 | 64 |
Result
Final score
46 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 30.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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