Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
319.74 – 184.79
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
319 – 240
Prediction correct · off by 28 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 574.7 ±10.7
Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 132.5Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 18.63Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 168.61Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.9 ±11
Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 20.79Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 140.5Event APEX 65.19Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 98.81Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1538, 8006, 2102
80
/ 100 compatProjected
319.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1538, 8006, 2102
Auto
58.7 19%
Teleop
188.5 61%
Endgame
63.2 20%
Strengths
- · 2102 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5124, 4123, 4415
67
/ 100 compatProjected
184.8 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5124, 4123, 4415
Auto
47.4 26%
Teleop
95.5 53%
Endgame
38.9 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score319.7pts
Blue projected score184.8pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 135
- Score range
- 155–350
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
574.7Season APEX342.9
58.7Auto47.4
188.5Teleop95.5
63.2Endgame38.9
0Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 38 | 54 |
| teleop | 170 | 102 |
| endgame | 86 | 69 |
| foul | 25 | 15 |
| total | 319 | 240 |
Result
Final score
319 – 240
Prediction correct · off by 28 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.