Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

398.88 – 152.2

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

524 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 72 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 679 ±9.3

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 184.63Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 3.17Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 211.08Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.1 ±11

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 89.49Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3952Troy Robotics

Season APEX 79Event APEX 33.2Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1197TorBots

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 29.51Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 599, 968, 9408

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 599, 968, 9408

Auto

80.6 20%

Teleop

225.9 57%

Endgame

86.8 22%

Strengths

· 9408 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1160, 3952, 1197

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1160, 3952, 1197

Auto

17.6 12%

Teleop

79.4 52%

Endgame

54.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score398.9pts

Blue projected score152.2pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 246.7
Score range: 122–429
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 695 vs event baseline 164.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

679Season APEX321.1

80.6Auto17.6

225.9Teleop79.4

86.8Endgame54.8

0Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	28
teleop	312	72
endgame	107	51
foul	40	20
total	524	171

Result

Final score

524 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 72 pts

Match videos

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