Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

390.63 – 75.6

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

452 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 52.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 679 ±9.3

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 182.63Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX -1.14Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 209.14Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.2 ±13.3

1836The MilkenKnights

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 18.64Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7230Mythic Mechanix

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 28.47Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5851Striking Vikings

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 28.49Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 599, 968, 9408

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 599, 968, 9408

Auto

75.5 20%

Teleop

228.8 60%

Endgame

78.3 20%

Strengths

· 9408 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1836, 7230, 5851

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1836, 7230, 5851

Auto

27.2 37%

Teleop

30.6 42%

Endgame

14.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score390.6pts

Blue projected score75.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 315
Score range: 47–420
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 572 vs event baseline 161.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

679Season APEX218.2

75.5Auto27.2

228.8Teleop30.6

78.3Endgame14.8

10Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	105	36
teleop	224	45
endgame	123	29
foul	0	10
total	452	120

Result

Final score

452 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 52.9 pts

Match videos

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