Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

311.16 – 204.44

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

110 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 128.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 574.7 ±10.7

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 129.1Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8006The Phantoms

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 17.44Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2102Team Paradox

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 164.62Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.9 ±11

4415EPIC Robotz

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 105.59Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 27.38Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4123Tribe Robotics

Season APEX 140.5Event APEX 71.47Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1538, 8006, 2102

/ 100 compat

Projected

311.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1538, 8006, 2102

Auto

54.2 18%

Teleop

176.4 59%

Endgame

69.8 23%

Strengths

· 2102 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4415, 5124, 4123

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4415, 5124, 4123

Auto

49.5 25%

Teleop

103.2 52%

Endgame

47.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score311.2pts

Blue projected score204.4pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.7
Score range: 173–342
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 173.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

574.7Season APEX342.9

54.2Auto49.5

176.4Teleop103.2

69.8Endgame47

4Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	43
teleop	42	75
endgame	34	30
foul	25	0
total	110	148

Result

Final score

110 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 128.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.