Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

92.2 – 79.68

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

292 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 151.1 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.1 ±11.7

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX -Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5851Striking Vikings

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 27.09Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9573MarauderTech

Season APEX 31.8Event APEX 42.57Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.4 ±11.7

867Absolute Value

Season APEX 30Event APEX 14.57Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4415EPIC Robotz

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 42.57Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4079Quantum Leap

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX -Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 599, 5851, 9573

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 599, 5851, 9573

Auto

28.2 32%

Teleop

31.3 36%

Endgame

27.7 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 867, 4415, 4079

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 867, 4415, 4079

Auto

15.9 21%

Teleop

41.1 53%

Endgame

20.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.2pts

Blue projected score79.7pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.5
Score range: 56–116
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 474 vs event baseline 135.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

400.1Season APEX240.4

21.5Auto9.1

20.1Teleop29.8

23.2Endgame15.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	13
teleop	201	94
endgame	47	75
foul	0	0
total	292	182

Result

Final score

292 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 151.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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