Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

111.73 – 93.07

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

112 – 356

Prediction missed · off by 131.6 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.9 ±12.7

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 31.37Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5285Sea Kings Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 60.57Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5669Techmen

Season APEX 76.3Event APEX -Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.3 ±10.5

2102Team Paradox

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 60.57Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX -Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4141Monarch Robotics

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 12.71Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5124, 5285, 5669

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5124, 5285, 5669

Auto

29.9 28%

Teleop

46.2 43%

Endgame

31.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2102, 1160, 4141

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2102, 1160, 4141

Auto

26.4 30%

Teleop

43.4 49%

Endgame

19.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111.7pts

Blue projected score93.1pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.7
Score range: 72–133
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 468 vs event baseline 118.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.9Season APEX445.3

24Auto20.5

36.3Teleop33.5

27.3Endgame15.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	47
teleop	62	209
endgame	35	85
foul	0	15
total	112	356

Result

Final score

112 – 356

Prediction missed · off by 131.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.