Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.07 – 118.08

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 114.2 ±13.3

3473Team Sprocket

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 16.91Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8898Royal Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 21.1Event APEX 1.57Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4470TiGears

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 25.59Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.6 ±11.6

812The Midnight Mechanics

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 55.46Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7447Rōnin Robotics

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 24.82Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3952Troy Robotics

Season APEX 79Event APEX 37.8Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3473, 8898, 4470

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3473, 8898, 4470

Auto

17.8 44%

Teleop

8.7 22%

Endgame

13.6 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 812, 7447, 3952

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 812, 7447, 3952

Auto

22.8 19%

Teleop

59.7 51%

Endgame

34.6 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.1pts

Blue projected score118.1pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74
Score range: 12–150
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 176.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

114.2Season APEX227.6

17.8Auto22.8

8.7Teleop59.7

13.6Endgame34.6

29Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	8
teleop	16	64
endgame	0	47
foul	0	0
total	26	119

Result

Final score

26 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.