Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.23 – 392.78

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

147 – 474

Prediction correct · off by 65.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 179.5 ±13.9

5669Techmen

Season APEX 76.3Event APEX 64.73Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6904TeraWatts

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 16.26Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3473Team Sprocket

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 16.24Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 661.2 ±10.7

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 203.67Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 176.92Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1836The MilkenKnights

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 12.19Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5669, 6904, 3473

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5669, 6904, 3473

Auto

19.3 23%

Teleop

45.4 54%

Endgame

18.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9408, 599, 1836

/ 100 compat

Projected

392.8 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9408, 599, 1836

Auto

79.4 21%

Teleop

222.9 58%

Endgame

79.8 21%

Strengths

· 9408 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.2pts

Blue projected score392.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -295.5
Score range: 69–421
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 621 vs event baseline 158.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

179.5Season APEX661.2

19.3Auto79.4

45.4Teleop222.9

18.7Endgame79.8

27Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	104
teleop	89	287
endgame	23	83
foul	10	0
total	147	474

Result

Final score

147 – 474

Prediction correct · off by 65.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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