Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

215.12 – 67.92

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

212 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 392 ±11.1

5851Striking Vikings

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 32.18Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5285Sea Kings Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 26.89Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2102Team Paradox

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 156.05Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.5 ±12.2

1197TorBots

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 35.81Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 22.59Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6904TeraWatts

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 9.52Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5851, 5285, 2102

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5851, 5285, 2102

Auto

42.1 20%

Teleop

113.7 54%

Endgame

56.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1197, 5124, 6904

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1197, 5124, 6904

Auto

16.3 25%

Teleop

37.2 58%

Endgame

10.7 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score215.1pts

Blue projected score67.9pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 147.2
Score range: 36–247
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 336 vs event baseline 176.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

392Season APEX211.5

42.1Auto16.3

113.7Teleop37.2

56.6Endgame10.7

10Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	27
teleop	74	68
endgame	62	24
foul	15	5
total	212	124

Result

Final score

212 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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