Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

161.67 – 84.07

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 3.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 303.1 ±11.7

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 0.45Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4415EPIC Robotz

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 93.5Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5669Techmen

Season APEX 76.3Event APEX 67.72Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 179.9 ±12.7

7447Rōnin Robotics

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 14.07Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4501Humans

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 33.59Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5285Sea Kings Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 36.41Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 968, 4415, 5669

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 968, 4415, 5669

Auto

19.9 13%

Teleop

88.6 60%

Endgame

39.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7447, 4501, 5285

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7447, 4501, 5285

Auto

21.8 27%

Teleop

29.2 36%

Endgame

30.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161.7pts

Blue projected score84.1pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.6
Score range: 55–191
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 160.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

303.1Season APEX179.9

19.9Auto21.8

88.6Teleop29.2

39.3Endgame30.3

15Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	11
teleop	71	51
endgame	59	22
foul	10	5
total	163	89

Result

Final score

163 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 3.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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