Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

213.64 – 88.56

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

242 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 27 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.4 ±12.4

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 183.21Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8006The Phantoms

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 15.53Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6904TeraWatts

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 14.9Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.1 ±12.7

7230Mythic Mechanix

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 39.47Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 19.85Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4470TiGears

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 29.24Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 599, 8006, 6904

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 599, 8006, 6904

Auto

41.5 19%

Teleop

127.6 59%

Endgame

46.9 22%

Strengths

· 599 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7230, 5124, 4470

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7230, 5124, 4470

Auto

30.5 39%

Teleop

42.4 54%

Endgame

6.2 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score213.6pts

Blue projected score88.6pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 125.1
Score range: 60–243
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 305 vs event baseline 161.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

379.4Season APEX171.1

41.5Auto30.5

127.6Teleop42.4

46.9Endgame6.2

21Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	28
teleop	156	28
endgame	68	7
foul	5	0
total	242	63

Result

Final score

242 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 27 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.