Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

229.4 – 122.43

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.6 ±9.8

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 86.43Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4999Momentum

Season APEX 97.4Event APEX 19.57Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 123.4Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.1 ±12.2

3473Team Sprocket

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 25.03Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

812The Midnight Mechanics

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 66.03Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5851Striking Vikings

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 31.37Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1160, 4999, 1538

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1160, 4999, 1538

Auto

52.0 24%

Teleop

117.2 54%

Endgame

49.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3473, 812, 5851

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3473, 812, 5851

Auto

26.6 22%

Teleop

58.0 48%

Endgame

35.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score229.4pts

Blue projected score122.4pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 107
Score range: 93–258
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 161.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

538.6Season APEX234.1

52Auto26.6

117.2Teleop58

49.6Endgame35

5Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	13
teleop	204	42
endgame	68	30
foul	0	5
total	314	90

Result

Final score

314 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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