Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
247.08 – 52.3
92%8%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
286 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 421 ±11.7
Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 23.55Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 193.8Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 29.73Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.8 ±13.3
Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 27.21Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 31.8Event APEX 24.9Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 0.19Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4501, 599, 5285
85
/ 100 compatProjected
247.1 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4501, 599, 5285
Auto
55.8 22%
Teleop
132.0 53%
Endgame
61.8 25%
Strengths
- · 599 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7447, 9573, 1836
34
/ 100 compatProjected
52.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7447, 9573, 1836
Auto
9.4 20%
Teleop
27.2 59%
Endgame
9.4 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score247.1pts
Blue projected score52.3pts
Red win probability92%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 194.8
- Score range
- 23–276
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
421Season APEX148.8
55.8Auto9.4
132Teleop27.2
61.8Endgame9.4
32Consistency5
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 46 | 15 |
| teleop | 180 | 13 |
| endgame | 60 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 286 | 52 |
Result
Final score
286 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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