Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

167.01 – 75.19

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 56.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 440.1 ±11.2

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 110.03Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4079Quantum Leap

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 20.49Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7230Mythic Mechanix

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 36.49Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.6 ±12.2

4470TiGears

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 39.86Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8006The Phantoms

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 20.66Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1197TorBots

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 14.67Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1538, 4079, 7230

/ 100 compat

Projected

167 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1538, 4079, 7230

Auto

46.3 29%

Teleop

93.5 59%

Endgame

17.8 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4470, 8006, 1197

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4470, 8006, 1197

Auto

17.0 21%

Teleop

25.9 32%

Endgame

37.2 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score167pts

Blue projected score75.2pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.8
Score range: 46–196
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 160.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

440.1Season APEX180.6

46.3Auto17

93.5Teleop25.9

17.8Endgame37.2

52Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	13
teleop	138	17
endgame	56	14
foul	15	0
total	249	44

Result

Final score

249 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 56.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.