Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
124.02 – 87.09
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
52 – 172
Prediction missed · off by 78.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 52.9Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 35.04Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.8Event APEX 36.08Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 29.15Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 67.34Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX -9.4Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4470, 4079, 9573
48
/ 100 compatProjected
124 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4470, 4079, 9573
Auto
12.1 9%
Teleop
83.7 65%
Endgame
32.4 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7230, 812, 1836
44
/ 100 compatProjected
87.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7230, 812, 1836
Auto
31.8 39%
Teleop
37.6 46%
Endgame
12.7 15%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score124pts
Blue projected score87.1pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 36.9
- Score range
- 58–153
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
140.7Season APEX239.6
12.1Auto31.8
83.7Teleop37.6
32.4Endgame12.7
2Consistency88
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 37 |
| teleop | 19 | 91 |
| endgame | 5 | 44 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 52 | 172 |
Result
Final score
52 – 172
Prediction missed · off by 78.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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