Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

167.79 – 302.22

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.2 ±11

1197TorBots

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 42.41Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7447Rōnin Robotics

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 36.09Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 89.29Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 554.6 ±10.7

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 138.45Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2102Team Paradox

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 134.27Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9573MarauderTech

Season APEX 31.8Event APEX 29.5Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1197, 7447, 1160

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1197, 7447, 1160

Auto

13.4 9%

Teleop

79.7 51%

Endgame

63.3 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 599, 2102, 9573

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 599, 2102, 9573

Auto

64.1 22%

Teleop

192.2 65%

Endgame

38.7 13%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score167.8pts

Blue projected score302.2pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -134.4
Score range: 139–331
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 442 vs event baseline 159.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.2Season APEX554.6

13.4Auto64.1

79.7Teleop192.2

63.3Endgame38.7

46Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	56
teleop	30	217
endgame	65	55
foul	5	5
total	109	333

Result

Final score

109 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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