Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

163.63 – 211.16

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

138 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.2 ±13.3

9573MarauderTech

Season APEX 31.8Event APEX 31.56Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5669Techmen

Season APEX 76.3Event APEX 93.43Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7447Rōnin Robotics

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 38.64Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.3 ±11.6

4470TiGears

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 42.88Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 95.67Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5851Striking Vikings

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 72.61Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9573, 5669, 7447

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9573, 5669, 7447

Auto

8.3 5%

Teleop

97.2 62%

Endgame

51.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4470, 1160, 5851

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4470, 1160, 5851

Auto

34.9 17%

Teleop

112.9 56%

Endgame

53.7 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163.6pts

Blue projected score211.2pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.5
Score range: 135–240
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 160.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.2Season APEX259.3

8.3Auto34.9

97.2Teleop112.9

51.3Endgame53.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	4
teleop	88	89
endgame	10	66
foul	20	0
total	138	159

Result

Final score

138 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.