Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.56 – 130.37

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 112.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.3 ±12.7

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 34.65Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1836The MilkenKnights

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX -20.33Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5851Striking Vikings

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 94.24Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.8 ±11.1

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 129.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4470TiGears

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 4.29Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7447Rōnin Robotics

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX -3.64Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5124, 1836, 5851

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5124, 1836, 5851

Auto

28.0 27%

Teleop

54.1 52%

Endgame

22.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9408, 4470, 7447

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9408, 4470, 7447

Auto

27.7 22%

Teleop

85.4 66%

Endgame

15.6 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score108.6pts

Blue projected score130.4pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.8
Score range: 81–158
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 157.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.3Season APEX389.8

28Auto27.7

54.1Teleop85.4

22.6Endgame15.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	71
teleop	32	145
endgame	17	75
foul	0	15
total	60	306

Result

Final score

60 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 112.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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