Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.53 – 242.48

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 69 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.8 ±12.8

9573MarauderTech

Season APEX 31.8Event APEX 52.16Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3473Team Sprocket

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX -2.35Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1197TorBots

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 60.72Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.8 ±11.2

2102Team Paradox

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 118.18Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 29.45Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8006The Phantoms

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 94.85Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9573, 3473, 1197

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9573, 3473, 1197

Auto

21.1 20%

Teleop

71.2 68%

Endgame

12.9 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2102, 968, 8006

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2102, 968, 8006

Auto

56.1 25%

Teleop

113.5 50%

Endgame

59.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.5pts

Blue projected score242.5pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -131.9
Score range: 82–271
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 215 vs event baseline 161.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.8Season APEX361.8

21.1Auto56.1

71.2Teleop113.5

12.9Endgame59.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	7
teleop	20	106
endgame	16	44
foul	5	0
total	58	157

Result

Final score

58 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 69 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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