Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

436.01 – 200.43

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

417 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 679 ±9.3

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 196.88Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 14.86Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 224.27Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.9 ±11

4415EPIC Robotz

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 104.87Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 25.92Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4123Tribe Robotics

Season APEX 140.5Event APEX 69.64Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 599, 968, 9408

/ 100 compat

Projected

436 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 599, 968, 9408

Auto

76.4 18%

Teleop

251.9 60%

Endgame

91.1 22%

Strengths

· 9408 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4415, 5124, 4123

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4415, 5124, 4123

Auto

49.2 25%

Teleop

101.6 52%

Endgame

45.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score436pts

Blue projected score200.4pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 235.6
Score range: 169–467
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 570 vs event baseline 172.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

679Season APEX342.9

76.4Auto49.2

251.9Teleop101.6

91.1Endgame45.6

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	38
teleop	221	73
endgame	92	42
foul	20	0
total	417	153

Result

Final score

417 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.