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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIRST California Southern State Championship presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

189.25 – 189.25

50%50%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

346 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 79.3 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 632.8 ±9.3
4201The Vitruvian Bots
A
Season APEX 253.3Event APEX -Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8119TigerBotics
A
Season APEX 239.4Event APEX -Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4415EPIC Robotz
B
Season APEX 140.1Event APEX -Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.6 ±10.4
1197TorBots
C
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX -Rank 55Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3925Ventura Robotics
C
Season APEX 105.1Event APEX -Rank 34Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2710JetStream
C
Season APEX 101Event APEX -Rank 54Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4201, 8119, 4415
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
189.3 pts
~2.0 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 4201, 8119, 4415
Auto
56.8 30%
Teleop
94.6 50%
Endgame
37.9 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1197, 3925, 2710
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
189.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1197, 3925, 2710
Auto
56.8 30%
Teleop
94.6 50%
Endgame
37.9 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score189.3pts
Blue projected score189.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample270alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
0
Score range
121–257
Upset likelihood
50%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 537 vs event baseline 378.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

632.8Season APEX306.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1332
teleop186115
endgame14729
foul015
total346191

Result

Final score

346 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 79.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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