FIRST California Southern State Championship presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

329.01 – 216.16

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

313 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 563 ±9.8

5137Iron Kodiaks

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 57.81Rank 37Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2984Vikings Robotics

Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 129.11Rank 27Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 142.09Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.9 ±9.8

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 70.92Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3647Millennium Falcons

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 105.49Rank 44Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4419Team Rewind

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 39.75Rank 40Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5137, 2984, 294

/ 100 compat

Projected

329 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5137, 2984, 294

Auto

79.1 24%

Teleop

195.2 59%

Endgame

58.4 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3128, 3647, 4419

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3128, 3647, 4419

Auto

10.9 6%

Teleop

124.5 66%

Endgame

52.5 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.64 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score329pts

Blue projected score216.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample270alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 112.9
Score range: 157–388
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 575 vs event baseline 325.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

563Season APEX549.9

79.1Auto10.9

195.2Teleop124.5

58.4Endgame52.5

86Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	101
teleop	141	146
endgame	100	5
foul	0	10
total	313	262

Result

Final score

313 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.