FIRST California Southern State Championship presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.67 – 261.85

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

164 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 91.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.7 ±10.4

812The Midnight Mechanics

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 25.65Rank 38Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1197TorBots

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 68.98Rank 55Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX -8.96Rank 50Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 638.2 ±9.3

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 92.78Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 114.97Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6695GalvaKnights

Season APEX 133Event APEX 54.1Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 812, 1197, 2404

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 812, 1197, 2404

Auto

34.7 49%

Teleop

6.4 9%

Endgame

29.7 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5199, 2429, 6695

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.9 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5199, 2429, 6695

Auto

62.9 24%

Teleop

144.9 54%

Endgame

58.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score85.7pts

Blue projected score261.9pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample270alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -176.2
Score range: 27–321
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 531 vs event baseline 326.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.7Season APEX638.2

34.7Auto62.9

6.4Teleop144.9

29.7Endgame58.8

134Consistency149

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	76
teleop	61	212
endgame	25	79
foul	35	0
total	164	367

Result

Final score

164 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 91.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.