Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

673.06 – 160.49

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

721 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 851.1 ±9.3

2204Rambots

Season APEX 109.9Event APEX 47.25Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 394.05Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 231.76Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.5 ±10.4

9400BagelBytes

Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 64.84Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 49.67Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 45.98Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2204, 1678, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

673.1 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2204, 1678, 5940

Auto

136.7 21%

Teleop

366.2 55%

Endgame

160.4 24%

Strengths

· 1678 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9400, 7137, 6662

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9400, 7137, 6662

Auto

28.7 20%

Teleop

80.4 55%

Endgame

38.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score673.1pts

Blue projected score160.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 512.6
Score range: 128–705
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 896 vs event baseline 180.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

851.1Season APEX383.5

136.7Auto28.7

366.2Teleop80.4

160.4Endgame38

0Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	155	24
teleop	415	71
endgame	146	75
foul	5	5
total	721	175

Result

Final score

721 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 pts

Match videos

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