Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.44 – 172.4

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.5 ±11.6

5458Digital Minds

Season APEX 73Event APEX 68.55Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

701RoboVikes

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 20.65Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 37.24Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510.3 ±10.5

751barn2robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 42.58Rank 23Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 67.65Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1072Harker Robotics

Season APEX 141.9Event APEX 62.17Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5458, 701, 3189

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5458, 701, 3189

Auto

26.7 24%

Teleop

50.3 44%

Endgame

36.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 751, 2073, 1072

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 751, 2073, 1072

Auto

19.5 12%

Teleop

81.2 52%

Endgame

55.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.4pts

Blue projected score172.4pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46
Score range: 93–205
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 181.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.5Season APEX510.3

26.7Auto19.5

50.3Teleop81.2

36.5Endgame55.6

0Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	24
teleop	52	60
endgame	35	36
foul	5	15
total	104	135

Result

Final score

104 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 pts

Match videos

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