Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.15 – 131.11

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

354 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 46 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 419.2 ±10.5

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 12.02Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 118.15Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

670Homestead Robotics

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 134.98Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258.5 ±11.6

5458Digital Minds

Season APEX 73Event APEX 71.03Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 38.35Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

701RoboVikes

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 21.73Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1280, 846, 670

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1280, 846, 670

Auto

51.1 20%

Teleop

159.8 62%

Endgame

47.1 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5458, 3189, 701

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5458, 3189, 701

Auto

27.2 24%

Teleop

53.1 46%

Endgame

34.1 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score265.2pts

Blue projected score131.1pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134
Score range: 99–297
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 482 vs event baseline 179.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

419.2Season APEX258.5

51.1Auto27.2

159.8Teleop53.1

47.1Endgame34.1

29Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	29
teleop	246	52
endgame	59	42
foul	0	5
total	354	128

Result

Final score

354 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 46 pts

Match videos

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