Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
163.81 – 196.95
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
148 – 139
Prediction missed · off by 36.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 383.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 64.69Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 51.53Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 47.59Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.9 ±11
Season APEX 151Event APEX 103.37Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 32Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 61.58Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9400, 7137, 6662
58
/ 100 compatProjected
163.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9400, 7137, 6662
Auto
27.0 18%
Teleop
81.2 53%
Endgame
45.6 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2135, 5274, 3598
66
/ 100 compatProjected
197 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2135, 5274, 3598
Auto
39.0 21%
Teleop
106.8 57%
Endgame
43.1 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score163.8pts
Blue projected score197pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -33.1
- Score range
- 132–229
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
383.5Season APEX346.9
27Auto39
81.2Teleop106.8
45.6Endgame43.1
51Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 37 | 38 |
| teleop | 79 | 61 |
| endgame | 2 | 35 |
| foul | 30 | 5 |
| total | 148 | 139 |
Result
Final score
148 – 139
Prediction missed · off by 36.9 pts
Match videos
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