Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

272.29 – 169.61

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 6.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 508.9 ±10.5

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 20.55Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4698Raider Robotics

Season APEX 283Event APEX 111.21Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3257Vortechs

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 140.53Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.5 ±10.4

9400BagelBytes

Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 68.49Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 52.73Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 48.39Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6884, 4698, 3257

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6884, 4698, 3257

Auto

64.8 25%

Teleop

130.4 50%

Endgame

65.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9400, 7137, 6662

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9400, 7137, 6662

Auto

27.4 18%

Teleop

83.9 54%

Endgame

45.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score272.3pts

Blue projected score169.6pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 102.7
Score range: 136–306
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 455 vs event baseline 186.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

508.9Season APEX383.5

64.8Auto27.4

130.4Teleop83.9

65.2Endgame45

6Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	21
teleop	115	71
endgame	72	68
foul	5	10
total	285	170

Result

Final score

285 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 6.5 pts

Match videos

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