Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

177.26 – 402.97

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

206 – 467

Prediction correct · off by 46.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346 ±11

2204Rambots

Season APEX 109.9Event APEX 46.09Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5458Digital Minds

Season APEX 73Event APEX 68.45Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9400BagelBytes

Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 62.72Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 630 ±9.8

3257Vortechs

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 119.71Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3598SEStematic Eliminators

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 56.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 226.9Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2204, 5458, 9400

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2204, 5458, 9400

Auto

30.8 18%

Teleop

85.8 50%

Endgame

54.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3257, 3598, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

403 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3257, 3598, 5940

Auto

89.6 23%

Teleop

214.3 55%

Endgame

84.4 22%

Strengths

· 5940 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.3pts

Blue projected score403pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -225.7
Score range: 146–434
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 673 vs event baseline 174.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346Season APEX630

30.8Auto89.6

85.8Teleop214.3

54.4Endgame84.4

31Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	85
teleop	105	256
endgame	63	116
foul	10	10
total	206	467

Result

Final score

206 – 467

Prediction correct · off by 46.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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