Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

162.07 – 531.68

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

148 – 551

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.4 ±12.2

9111Pyro Mechanics

Season APEX 100Event APEX 37.12Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1857Citrus Sparks

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 84.71Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1138Eagle Engineering

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 40.24Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642.7 ±10.5

670Homestead Robotics

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 133.24Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 394.17Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 4.27Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9111, 1857, 1138

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9111, 1857, 1138

Auto

29.3 21%

Teleop

73.8 52%

Endgame

39.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 670, 1678, 6884

/ 100 compat

Projected

531.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 670, 1678, 6884

Auto

124.3 24%

Teleop

294.3 56%

Endgame

107.4 20%

Strengths

· 1678 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score162.1pts

Blue projected score531.7pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -369.6
Score range: 131–563
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 699 vs event baseline 172.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

336.4Season APEX642.7

29.3Auto124.3

73.8Teleop294.3

39.5Endgame107.4

30Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	79
teleop	63	340
endgame	47	132
foul	15	0
total	148	551

Result

Final score

148 – 551

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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