Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.63 – 184.46

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 76.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 356.4 ±11

2135Presentation Invasion

Season APEX 151Event APEX 110.16Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 53.22Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 7.25Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385.6 ±11.2

5728MC2

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 20.58Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1072Harker Robotics

Season APEX 141.9Event APEX 53.12Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 110.76Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2135, 6662, 6619

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2135, 6662, 6619

Auto

32.7 20%

Teleop

86.9 54%

Endgame

40.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5728, 1072, 846

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5728, 1072, 846

Auto

30.6 17%

Teleop

101.7 56%

Endgame

48.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score170.6pts

Blue projected score184.5pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.8
Score range: 140–215
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 174.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

356.4Season APEX385.6

32.7Auto30.6

86.9Teleop101.7

40.1Endgame48

38Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	33
teleop	40	172
endgame	27	66
foul	10	5
total	109	276

Result

Final score

109 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 76.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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