Qualification · Qualification 71
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
92.33 – 69.02
57%43%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
98 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 15.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 291 ±11.7
Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 53.47Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 32.27Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 6.59Rank 19Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 14.74Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 23.9Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 72Event APEX 30.38Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7137, 11274, 4135
41
/ 100 compatProjected
92.3 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7137, 11274, 4135
Auto
28.3 35%
Teleop
38.5 48%
Endgame
13.4 17%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1280, 701, 11296
36
/ 100 compatProjected
69 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1280, 701, 11296
Auto
18.6 34%
Teleop
26.0 48%
Endgame
10.1 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score92.3pts
Blue projected score69pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 23.3
- Score range
- 37–124
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
291Season APEX205.7
28.3Auto18.6
38.5Teleop26
13.4Endgame10.1
47Consistency23
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 14 |
| teleop | 54 | 7 |
| endgame | 21 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 98 | 44 |
Result
Final score
98 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 15.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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