Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

135.07 – 77.92

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

78 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.5 ±10.5

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 43.43Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3257Vortechs

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX -Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 64.29Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.9 ±12.8

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2288Hydra Robotics

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 16.86Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

701RoboVikes

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 33.71Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6619, 3257, 846

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6619, 3257, 846

Auto

23.1 17%

Teleop

77.4 58%

Endgame

33.2 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6981, 2288, 701

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6981, 2288, 701

Auto

17.6 23%

Teleop

36.0 47%

Endgame

22.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score135.1pts

Blue projected score77.9pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.1
Score range: 48–165
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 100 vs event baseline 164.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.5Season APEX205.9

14.9Auto9.4

63.7Teleop22.3

27.7Endgame17.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	4
teleop	22	4
endgame	11	9
foul	5	5
total	78	22

Result

Final score

78 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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