Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
103.36 – 53.89
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
48 – 50
Prediction missed · off by 29.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.5 ±13.3
Season APEX 52Event APEX 34.47Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100Event APEX 41.9Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 26.99Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.4 ±13.3
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 29.17Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 16.08Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 8.64Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2141, 9111, 5728
45
/ 100 compatProjected
103.4 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2141, 9111, 5728
Auto
30.1 28%
Teleop
46.0 43%
Endgame
29.8 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11274, 1280, 2288
21
/ 100 compatProjected
53.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 11274, 1280, 2288
Auto
23.4 57%
Teleop
19.6 47%
Endgame
-1.7 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score103.4pts
Blue projected score53.9pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 49.5
- Score range
- 22–135
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
199.5Season APEX162.4
30.1Auto23.4
46Teleop19.6
29.8Endgame-1.7
9Consistency70
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 24 |
| teleop | 18 | 17 |
| endgame | 4 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 48 | 50 |
Result
Final score
48 – 50
Prediction missed · off by 29.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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