Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.9 – 93.24

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

138 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.3 ±10.4

1072Harker Robotics

Season APEX 141.9Event APEX 54.88Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 54.16Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 51.86Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.1 ±13.3

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 44.28Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 10.21Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 38.75Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1072, 6662, 7137

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1072, 6662, 7137

Auto

22.2 14%

Teleop

86.8 57%

Endgame

44.2 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3189, 6981, 199

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3189, 6981, 199

Auto

20.9 22%

Teleop

48.5 52%

Endgame

24.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.9pts

Blue projected score93.2pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.7
Score range: 61–193
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 177.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.3Season APEX210.1

22.2Auto20.9

86.8Teleop48.5

44.2Endgame24.3

8Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	13
teleop	57	7
endgame	39	12
foul	15	0
total	138	32

Result

Final score

138 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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