Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

228.57 – 254.27

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

272 – 399

Prediction correct · off by 94.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.2 ±11.2

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 216.61Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

701RoboVikes

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 20.11Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3482Arrowbotics

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -8.15Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 532.8 ±10.5

5458Digital Minds

Season APEX 73Event APEX 58.14Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4698Raider Robotics

Season APEX 283Event APEX 97.19Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3257Vortechs

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 98.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5940, 701, 3482

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5940, 701, 3482

Auto

35.6 17%

Teleop

123.2 58%

Endgame

53.2 25%

Strengths

· 5940 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5458, 4698, 3257

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5458, 4698, 3257

Auto

57.5 23%

Teleop

126.8 50%

Endgame

69.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score228.6pts

Blue projected score254.3pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.7
Score range: 198–285
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 671 vs event baseline 174.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.2Season APEX532.8

35.6Auto57.5

123.2Teleop126.8

53.2Endgame69.8

50Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	83
teleop	101	213
endgame	83	93
foul	30	10
total	272	399

Result

Final score

272 – 399

Prediction correct · off by 94.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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