Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

90.7 – 58.33

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

132 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295 ±11.6

3598SEStematic Eliminators

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 51.05Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

751barn2robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 31.38Rank 23Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 8.27Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233.6 ±11.6

1138Eagle Engineering

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 32Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 3.77Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5274Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 22.56Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3598, 751, 6619

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3598, 751, 6619

Auto

18.8 21%

Teleop

44.6 51%

Endgame

24.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1138, 6884, 5274

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1138, 6884, 5274

Auto

18.2 36%

Teleop

14.7 29%

Endgame

17.0 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.7pts

Blue projected score58.3pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.4
Score range: 26–123
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 175.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295Season APEX233.6

18.8Auto18.2

44.6Teleop14.7

24.3Endgame17

47Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	15
teleop	75	47
endgame	25	29
foul	0	5
total	132	96

Result

Final score

132 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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